No Surprise

“I can’t believe stocks rallied so strongly into options expiration!” said no one. Between VIX’s plunge, the euro’s ramp, and the yield curve’s decimation, bears have had no chance – even as fundamentals argued otherwise. continued for members… … continue reading →

End of the Line?

The market has frustrated both bulls and bears lately, vacillating between sharp downturns and even sharper recoveries. But, a close examination of the charts shows two very obvious patterns that suggest the tide is about to turn – not in a good way. continued for members… … continue reading →

FOMC Day: May 3, 2023

Futures are essentially flat ahead of today’s pivotal FOMC decision and press conference.  This follows a day that saw stock prices plunge below our initial backtest target……as VIX actually broke out – at least for a few hours. The banking crisis obviously hasn’t gone away. How many more First Republics or Silicon Valley banks are … continue reading →

Earnings Suddenly Matter

Futures are off about 30 points on disappointing earnings from stocks such as TSLA, AXP, KEY, etc. and a continuing slump in oil and gas. VIX is even popping as we approach the open. If it holds, the rollover in equities will have officially begun. continued for members… … continue reading →

Charts I’m Watching: Feb 24, 2023

Futures have dropped back through the 50-day moving average, putting the 200-day back in focus after yesterday’s near miss. We’re essentially in the same situation as yesterday except that we’re jumping off from a much lower level. continued for members… … continue reading →

More Where That Came From

Yesterday marked the second day in a row of sharp declines in the equity markets following the 200-day moving average backtest and the passing of OPEX.There’s more where that came from. continued for members… … continue reading →