ES tagged our next downside target this morning……tagging the 4319 target we posted back on Jan 3 [see: De Facto Shutdown.] The only question now is whether stocks will get the big bounce they usually do after a 10% correction or whether they’ve come undone. In other words, I have this 1969 Guess Who classic … continue reading →
Another overnight bounce, another head fake… continued for members… … continue reading →
A little over a week ago, COMP made a hard bounce off its 200-DMA, gapping much higher the following day. Yesterday, it plunged below its 200-DMA and closed there – not a good sign for the bulls. continued for members… … continue reading →
Having reached an interim high, ES is content to remain there…for now. continued for members… … continue reading →
Algos are eyeing new all-time highs for the third session in a row, a combination of low volume… …and VIX’s continuing flirtation with its 200-DMA. continued for members… … continue reading →
Futures bounced sharply after plunging nearly to the 100-day moving average yesterday, ping-ponging up to backtest the 50-DMA.SPX should have a decent shot at closing yesterday’s gap before the action resumes. continued for members… … continue reading →
The Fed’s experiment of pouring trillions of dollars into the markets is coming to an inglorious end. Even though an accelerated taper will still results in hundreds of billions in additional liquidity over the next several months, the writing is on the wall. Allianz Chief Economic Advisor Mohamed El-Erian said it well yesterday on CBS’ … continue reading →
At 6.81%, headline inflation is now the highest it has been since March 1982 (6.78%.) Originally driven by sharply rising oil and gas prices… …it is now broad-based and anything but transitory, with medical commodities the only category below the Fed’s original 2% target. Algos responded with the usual VIX smackdown which, not surprisingly, began … continue reading →
VIX tagged our 34.84 target on Friday – an important breakout in risk – before tumbling back into the safe zone. With other factors holding their ground and equities’ 100-DMAs still untagged, it’s not at all clear that the worst is over. continued for members… … continue reading →
It’s only happened 4 times in the past five years. The last time it happened was on Feb 27, 2020. SPX had reached a new all-time high of 3393.52 a week earlier and had sold off 12% so far on news of the new coronavirus reaching US shores. We were in the minority of analysts … continue reading →