Futures are flat as we enter the final month of a pretty solid year. Questions remain, however, regarding the economy’s ability to withstand the coming policy changes. continued for members… … continue reading →
Tag Archives: economics
Futures are off modestly on a slow news day as investors continue to game out how the election will affect their portfolios. continued for members… … continue reading →
Futures are flat this morning following unemployment data that supports the widely held expectation of a rate cut when the FOMC meets Sep 17-18. The algos are presently concerned with the yield curve, which continues to warn of further downside, tomorrow’s jobs report, and a pesky gap which refuses to be ignored. continued for members… … continue reading →
Oil and gas futures have both tagged our next downside targets from June [see: Update on Oil & Gas, June 6, 2024.]. We’ll take a look at the road ahead and what it means for the equity and bond markets. continued for members… … continue reading →
In a speech that was essentially a mashup of all his other recent speeches, Powell reiterated at Jackson Hole on Friday that the pandemic – not historically dovish monetary policy – caused the recent huge spike in inflation. In fact, the Fed should be congratulated for putting out the inflationary fire that they started. He … continue reading →
A lot has happened for RUT in the past week. It was only 11 days ago that we updated its chart, suggesting RUT would reach 2282 by the end of the year. RUT’s reversal at its .618 in April set up either a Gartley or Bat pattern, meaning a move to its .786 at 2282.27 … continue reading →
This is the fourth time in a row that ES has pushed back into the rising channel from which it previously broke down. This one is more important, however, as it has the 50-day moving average in its sights. As we discussed last week, all the stars are aligned should the algos wish to pursue … continue reading →
Already elevated on AAPL’s announcement of a historic buyback, futures popped on a weaker than expected jobs report. The only problem is that this ramp puts them right back at the top of the channel which has prompted three previous tumbles. Will this one be any different? continued for members… … continue reading →
Futures are off sharply on a very stagflationary offering of economic data. Q1 GDP rose at only 1.6% versus expectations of 2.4%, while core PCE prices rose 3.7% against expectations of 3.4%. The PCE index itself is due out tomorrow. Meanwhile, the Labor Department reported that unemployment claims for the week ended April 20 came … continue reading →
Futures tanked overnight on news of Israel’s rocket attack on Iran, only to recover all their losses as we go to press. The latest retaliation is being characterized as a tit for tat. But it’s easy to imagine the Plunge Protection Team working overtime to calm markets by hammering VIX and WTI back down from … continue reading →