Horseshoes and Hand Grenades

There’s an old expression that says “close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades.”  So, we spent most of the day yesterday wondering whether the day’s 2336.45 lows were close enough to our long-held downside target of 2335.34.The tag was marred by premature reversals in oil and VIX.  Did the guys working the algos not get … continue reading →

Whistling Past the Graveyard

Only a couple of years ago, central bankers became adept at repairing the damage done to stocks after big shocks.  That changed with Brexit, when the strategy shifted to pushing stocks as high as possible before the damage was done… and, still doing all the requisite ramping after the fact. They perfected the technique after the … continue reading →

Charts I’m Watching: Aug 12, 2013

The eminis are flirting with danger this morning, having ducked below a key channel midline (dashed, purple) but bouncing off a smaller channel bottom and another channel midline (dashed, white) near a .786 (1674.15) for a Gartley Pattern completion. The dollar is threatening to break out of the falling wedge…. And, the SPX is set … continue reading →

Update on AAPL: Jul 31, 2013

It’s not often I get the chance to plug a future competitor.  As some of you know, my son Kyle is helping me out this summer.  He will graduate in December with an Economics major and Personal Financial Planning minor from Texas Tech University in lovely Lubbock, TX. In addition to performing many rather thankless … continue reading →

Update on USDJPY: Jun 18, 2013

The pair has dropped like a rock since the purple channel broke down on June 5.  It reached the .886 Fib as expected [CIW: Jun 6], then immediately bounced back above the neckline of the H&S Pattern it had completed (in red, below.) The following day, it fell back through that neckline, and has spent … continue reading →

Update on Gold: May 15, 2013

Our last update [Apr 15] devoted to gold came in the midst of a huge meltdown.  Gold had lost channel support, horizontal support at the psychologically important level of 1500 and was dropping like a rock through 1335. Never one to shy away from an opportunity to embarrass myself, I gave my best guess: we … continue reading →