Decision Time, Again

We start this morning’s post with a peek at the Russell 2000 as it perfectly illustrates the dilemma facing the broader markets this morning. Up until September 2017, RUT followed a well-defined rising channel shown below in yellow.  Like all channels, it was defined by the tops and bottoms along the way. The only problem: … continue reading →

Buckle Up

Algos have been given the green light by VIX, oil and especially currencies – which present an incredibly bullish picture courtesy of a signal which hasn’t failed in at least 20 years. But, the coronavirus is a different kind of threat with enormous implications. USDJPY’s improbable breakout smacks of desperation. Will the algos really behave themselves … continue reading →

When Will News Begin to Matter Again?

Apparently AAPL slashing guidance is inconsequential and Bill Gates, who is predicting 10 million deaths, is some sort of conspiracy theorist – because the market continues to ignore the coronavirus story. Perhaps somewhere down the line the investing world will come to realize what we’ve known for years: stocks have become increasingly easy to manipulate. … continue reading →