VIX: Not a Coincidence

When COMP bounced at 10,572.33 on Friday, a mere 7.19 above its June 16 lows, it might have struck some as a coincidence.  It wasn’t.

It was a well-coordinated effort to ensure that new lows were avoided – at least for the time being.The usual culprit: VIX.  For the 6th session in a row and the 12th time since Jan 24, 2022, VIX tested and retreated from the same trend line – an occurrence the algos have been well trained to respond to with a bounce.  The June 13 test went further, producing a huge bounce because it also broke below two significant trend lines of support as well as producing a bearish (bullish for stocks) alignment in moving averages.

Yesterday’s huge plunge in VIX similarly wreaked havoc with moving averages – postponing (at least) an imminent 50/200 cross.  Will this short squeeze rally follow the same playbook?

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