PPI Supports November Rate Cut

PPI came in at 0.0% MoM and 1.8% YoY, supporting expectations of a 25 bps rate cut in November. Algos approved and are holding yesterday’s trading range. These expectations, however, are probably wrong.

As we’ve discussed often over the past few months, the decline in goods prices from 0.6% in Jul to 0.0% in Aug and -0.2% in Sept was driven primarily by energy prices (-2.7% in Sept), a trend which will reverse in October.

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