BTC reached our next downside target at 28,600 last night, then dropped as low as 25,401 before bouncing back to current levels.
It’s not unusual for BTC to overshoot important support. And, this .618 Fib level is theoretically important support. But, it’s also important to remember that a bounce is sometimes just a backtest of newly formed resistance before another leg down.
We’ve been bearish on BTC since 66,432 in October 2021. We were a little early, but maintained our posture ever since with with the exception of the Dec 2021 and Jan 2022 bounces – a stance which has produced exceptional gains.
We’ll take a fresh look at BTC and whether it’s worth trying to catch this falling knife.
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