We’ve been bearish on oil for quite a while, shorting it at 75.57 on October 3, 2018 after Jamal Khashoggi was dismembered and at each of the 3 subsequent peaks since then: just before the JCPOA breakup, the Abqaiq attack and the Aramco IPO — which should have been a peak, but resulted in a … continue reading →
Tag Archives: CL
Today is the 5th session since ES tagged our 3076 target. Four times it has bounced off the bottom of a very orderly, sharply rising channel — which is just what the doctor ordered. Will today be the fifth? continued for members… … continue reading →
It’s not too surprising that there’s been a firm floor under oil and gas prices, given the upcoming Aramco IPO. But, isn’t it funny how CL has popped above its SMA200 every single day this week, even in the wake of dismal inventory data? Just like it’s funny that ES, which pretty obviously should have … continue reading →
Housing starts and permits both fell, with starts missing expectations by a mile. Philadelphia Fed index also fell and saw a big miss. Capacity utilization and industrial output both missed and fell. So, naturally, the OPEX-obsessed S&P 500 futures are up 10 points. If things seem a little upside down at this point, know that … continue reading →
SPX needed about 22 points downside to reach the support of its SMA50, a rising channel bottom, and a falling channel bottom. ES, which finally reached our 2655 target from last week [see FOMC: Endgame] is currently off 30 points. At this rate, SPX will breach its support on the open, especially if USDJPY doesn’t … continue reading →
The markets weren’t exactly reassured by Powell’s testimony yesterday. Bottom line, no one in their right mind buys the idea that we can have such strong GDP and wage growth but still need such accommodative policy. IMO, Powell was curt and sometimes downright evasive, which didn’t help matters. Stocks plunged to our initial downside target, … continue reading →
Futures are back to flat, having bounced a bit on the Iran sanction news as it provided a modest (so far) bounce for oil and gas prices.The market has a wait and see feel to it this morning, with AAPL breaking down further……but, the algos all but ignoring it, focusing instead on dollar strength (TNX … continue reading →
It’s interesting how Khashoggi’s murder top-ticked oil and gas prices… …and, so soon after Trump’s latest demand that OPEC lower oil prices. I’m certainly not insinuating that Trump had anything to do with Khashoggi’s murder. But, OPEC ignored Trump’s Sep 20 demand. Two weeks later, oil prices had spiked 10% higher. Since Oct 3, the … continue reading →
It is often said that there are two sides to every story and, somewhere in middle, lies the price of oil. Okay, I paraphrased that just a bit. But, isn’t it odd that the day after the Saudis threaten $400/barrel oil, Donald Trump suddenly embraces the ludicrous “rogue killers” theory for the death of Washington Post … continue reading →
Catch this news flash yesterday? Trump, ironically at a White House meeting with the National Council for the American Worker: You’re gonna see on China, today, right after close of business…we’ll be announcing something, uh, and it will be a lot of money coming into the coffers of the United States of America, a lot … continue reading →