Update on Everything: Jan 11, 2013

 

Around the horn with major indices and currencies…  Like SPX, most are at a threshold where they must either break down or break out (I think “break down,” but we’ll know soon enough.)

Coming up: VIX, RUT, COMP, NYA, NDX, DJIA, FTSE, SPX, DX, EURUSD, USDJPY, AUDUSD, CL, GC, SI.  And, yes, I’m happy to take requests — first come, first served after the above are done.

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VIX

continued for members

RUT

COMP

NYA

NDX

DJIA

FTSE 100

 

DX

SPX

EURUSD

USDJPY

AUDUSD

CL

GOLD

NFLX

 SILVER

XLF

 

UPDATE:  4:00 PM

Another exciting day of indecision… down to the wire whether red or green.  At least I’m all caught up on charting!  I’ll update the forecast tomorrow or Sunday.

I wish everyone a great weekend.

 

 

Comments

14 responses to “Update on Everything: Jan 11, 2013”

  1. Curiousmind3861 Avatar
    Curiousmind3861

    or is it a crab pattern now? I am sorry for the multiple comments, I tried to edit my old ones but couldn’t…

    1. pebblewriter Avatar

      It has the potential to be a Crab Pattern since there was a reversal on the 7th just shy of the .500 Fib.   If it exceeds 1.3391, that would indicate a target of 1.3485-1.3498.

      1. Curiousmind3861 Avatar
        Curiousmind3861

        last night EUR went to 1.34, does that mean it will target 1.3485 already? that will be problematic for the dollar count wouldn’t it?

  2. Curiousmind3861 Avatar
    Curiousmind3861

    PW, is this a legit bat for EURUSD?

    original_11412135.png

  3. Curiousmind3861 Avatar
    Curiousmind3861

    Here is a chart for fun. It shows a top today and down we go until Jan 31, bounce, then down again till Feb 13. It will correlate well with PW’s target.
    http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-pIHl760c810/UN_cIOpcG0I/AAAAAAAAMKo/zHyCOFCQdP8/s1600/121230+SPX+2012+vs+1967+%5B04%5D.png

    1. Beach_Justice Avatar
      Beach_Justice

      Nice, thanks for posting.

  4. Tommy Avatar
    Tommy

     Hello PW,

    Originally, the end of this week (Jan 11, Jan 12) was supposed to be the target for the analog to play out.

    Suppose the analog is still alive, can you tell us the revised target date?  (not necessarily an exact date, i.e. Mid Feb, or Mid March would be fine)

    SPX reached 1474 in last September.  It took 2 months to find a bottom on Nov 16.   SPX reached 1470s yesterday.  If it was a top, should we expect to wait 2 months for the bottom to reach.

    Thanks!

    1. pebblewriter Avatar

      I’ll definitely take a crack at updating it this weekend.  But, nothing’s really changed since the last forecast update a week ago.

      Have a good weekend

  5. Hillwalker Avatar
    Hillwalker

    Any chance you can look at NFLX?

    1. Beach_Justice Avatar
      Beach_Justice

      I’m no pebblewriter, but it looks nflx is finishing a pretty clean Crab Pattern up to $107.55.

      1. Hillwalker Avatar
        Hillwalker

        thanks!

    2. pebblewriter Avatar

      Just posted above.  Pretty mature rising wedge and nudging up against the .618 of the slide from 133 to 52.  Like everything else — either break out or (more likely) break down time.

      1. Hillwalker Avatar
        Hillwalker

        Thank you! I appreciate the time and analysis. This is one of those stocks that, from an investment perspective, I just don’t get the valuation. I know it can be explained by harmonics and EW but I’m not skilled enough to trade it.