Futures are marginally higher ahead of 2023’s first options expiration. Note that the 2022 Review and 2023 Forecasts are both completed. continued for members… … continue reading →
Tag Archives: SPX
Futures are up over 0.65% even as VIX has popped 6.25% in the after hours. What gives? There’s actually a lot of reshuffling going on this morning, with important implications for currencies and equities. continued for members… … continue reading →
Futures are up moderately as we approach the open, gaining back much of the losses suffered yesterday in the wake of a dismal pending home sales print (-4.0% versus -0.8% expected, the worst since inception in 2001.) Prices fell MoM for the fourth month in a row. At this point, it appears the bulls are … continue reading →
It seems the algos are content to hold the current line instead of rallying into the end of the year – this Friday. continued for members… … continue reading →
S&P futures are quiet this morning, back to even after being up about 30 points overnight.continued for members… … continue reading →
What the algos giveth, David Tepper (bearish) and Q3 GDP (+3.2% vs 2.9% est. and -0.6% last) taketh away. Futures are off sharply as we approach the open. continued for members… … continue reading →
The Bank of Japan has kept interest rates at or below zero for years. Their bet was that the suppression of interest rates (by purchasing Japan’s net issuance, the BoJ now owns over 50%) would offer sufficient protection against both inflation and the 263% debt:GDP – exacerbated by the rapid depreciation of the yen. Investors, … continue reading →
As expected, Powell and Co. were not amused by the market’s recent exuberance and decided to take things down a notch. The algos haven’t yet given up, though, with VIX still under pressure and DXY remaining oversold.The reversal is working just fine so far. But, with OPEX tomorrow and two weeks left in the year, … continue reading →
They’re all important, but this one carries extra significance due to the potential for a slowdown in rate hikes, or at least the commentary regarding one. Futures almost backtested the 200-day moving average overnight, but are now essentially flat. After all the excitement yesterday, our targets remain the same across the board. If anything, the … continue reading →
Based on how the market is reacting, inflation is no longer a concern. The Fed will pivot and easy money will be back in no time. Except, as we’ve been discussing, this is one of those weeks which almost always overreacts to the upside: FOMC meeting, OPEX, end of year, etc. As noted yesterday, the … continue reading →