Back Online!

It only took a week of posting on Blogger for me to crash the entire system! Google assures us the system is back and better than ever.  Posts from Wednesday and Thursday are slowly coming back on line.  I’ll give it till tomorrow morning, then try to repost what hasn’t reappeared.  Lots of action in … continue reading →


The market’s off 16.60 at 1341.05.  I think this is the “Y” from Daneric’s W-X-Y count and a result of the bearish Gartley pattern we saw conclude yesterday. While SPX could easily continue down, I’d be watching for a bounce at: (a) 1333 — the long term trendline from the Oct ’07 high (stopped … continue reading →

Quick Silver Update

Watching SLV this morning. It’s turning on the fib levels religiously, topping within a nickel of the .382, toying with .236 and heading south now. I’m watching the 5-minute bars and, FWIW, a pattern has repeated three times in a row: every little dip is followed by exactly 9 sideways/up candles before the decline resumes. … continue reading →

GM Fumbles in the Red Zone

It was supposed to be a great turnaround story, a good cause and a profitable investment, too.  After going public again post taxpayer bailout, GM dropped like a rock despite research report puffery that would have Shakespeare drooling with envy … continue reading →

Update on Silver

This bounce is lasting longer than I anticipated.  SLV experienced extraordinary volume trading during its decline:  988MM shares over 4 days, a big number as there are only 335MM outstanding. Given that the ETF is now owned by a whole new crowd (or repurchased by those who sold last week), we can expect the new … continue reading →

Silver ready to shine?

I suspect this morning’s bounce is all about (1) jumping on stocks’ coattails, and (2) this support line: What hasn’t changed is: (1) there’s another margin hike coming Monday, (2) plenty of folks are still figuring out how to meet yesterday’s margin calls, and (3) JPM probably hasn’t zeroed out their short position yet, and … continue reading →