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pebblewriter

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A Sloppy Rebound

Posted on October 31, 2025 by pebblewriter
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ES is rebounding nicely after yesterday’s tumble. But, the algos forgot to even backtest the 10-day moving average or even close a gap or two. Bottom line, TPTB are getting sloppy. At this rate, the marks (the investing public) are going to start to suspect something… With ACA enrollment starting tomorrow and millions of registered … continue reading →

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Not so Fast…

Posted on October 30, 2025 by pebblewriter
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The futures are off moderately following an FOMC meeting that surprised many observers. Powell threw cold water on the bulls’ insistence that we’d get another rate cut in December. “A further reduction in the policy rate at the December meeting is not a foregone conclusion. Far from it.” The algos made up most of the … continue reading →

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FOMC Day: Oct 29, 2025

Posted on October 29, 2025 by pebblewriter
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Futures are up moderately ahead of today’s FOMC decision. continued for members… … continue reading →

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Will They? Should They?

Posted on October 28, 2025 by pebblewriter
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Looking at our gas vs inflation chart, it sure looks questionable. But, the Trump sycophants tripping over each other to assume the chairmanship next year would have us believe there is no such thing as an ill-advised rate cut. continued for members… … continue reading →

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Charts I’m Watching: Oct 27, 2025

Posted on October 27, 2025 by pebblewriter
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Futures are up sharply on Bessent’s comments on Sunday that a trade deal with China was imminent. We have no details on the deal – e.g. whether or not it would benefit the US if it is actually happening. All we know if that it’s happening right before a very important FOMC meeting, perhaps to … continue reading →

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CPI Back Above 3%

Posted on October 24, 2025 by pebblewriter
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CPI came in slightly lower than expected, but it’s still going in the wrong direction. And, most economists expect CPI to continue rising. Is it logical to expect a FOMC rate cut next week? continued for members… … continue reading →

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Oil Prices Soar

Posted on October 23, 2025 by pebblewriter
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Oil prices soared on news that Trump is imposing sanctions on Russia, targeting the country’s two largest oil companies. Futures are off slightly as algos contemplate the impact on inflation. continued for members… … continue reading →

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Charts I’m Watching: Oct 22, 2025

Posted on October 22, 2025 by pebblewriter
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Futures are flat ahead of the open as the government shutdown enters its fourth week. continued for members… … continue reading →

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Charts I’m Watching: Oct 21, 2025

Posted on October 21, 2025 by pebblewriter
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Futures are flat following a sharp increase yesterday prompted by White House suggestions that the government shutdown was near an end. continued for members… … continue reading →

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Charts I’m Watching: Oct 20, 2025

Posted on October 20, 2025 by pebblewriter
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Futures are moderately higher as traders continue to pin their hopes on tech stocks and brush off inflation fears. continued for members… … continue reading →

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