ORIGINAL POST: 9:40 AM
Watching to see whether the falling wedge on the dollar will break out or re-test the upper bound…
Meanwhile, SPX continues to respect the lower bound of the megaphone pattern we’ve been following the past few days. But, 24 hours of hugging 1402 is getting a little tiresome.
If you haven’t yet weighed in on the Disqus/SSL issue, please see last night’s post and leave a comment.
I’ll be back with more charts if/when we get any movement.
UPDATE: 11:45 AM
SPX testing the bottom of the megaphone again…
Meanwhile, DX is hitting resistance on one of the red channel lines and the falling wedge upper bound. A break out would confirm stocks are ready to fall.
Otherwise, this is the first wave up following a well-formed back test on the big purple channel line; and, a retracement is due.
UPDATE: 1:00 PM
The market’s still constipated. In DX, the 60-min RSI tells the story. The channel resistance is obvious. A break of the red TL should get things moving.
Similarly, SPX needs a break of this 15-min RSI TL to see any upside.
UPDATE: 2:30 PM
COMP looking like it wants to try for the next higher RSI TL (white or red, take your pick), which would likely correlate with the .786 Fib level. Like RUT and NYA, it’s just a hair beneath the level needed to complete a Gartley Pattern.










Comments
6 responses to “Charts I’m Watching: Aug 9, 2012”
PW, not sure if you saw this at Pretzel’s site…very interesting regarding the Muppets/Hedgies chasing Beta:
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-Ko7Y0PjLWgY/UCOvcE3h3XI/AAAAAAAADIU/MDdogj17Y3c/s1600/natv.png
Interesting chart. Thanks!
Is the 13.47 VIX target still meaningful?
See last night’s post on VIX.
I think everybody´s watching the olimpics!…
I still think that the mkt is making a base right here around 1400 and next week will start a 3 month climbing…
If does not breakdown is because it will breakUP…so the short position is a waste and dangerous.
I don’t disagree with the statement “if does not break down is because it will break up.” This is self-evident, as markets tend not to remain at one level indefinitely. But, we’ll have to break convincingly through 1411 in order for the higher harmonic targets to be in play.
re: “short position is a waste and dangerous”
Members are always encouraged to use stops. Even the most logical forecasts can and do go wrong.