Futures are up moderately as we shuffle toward the end of the year ramp.

The negative divergence continues, outpaced only by the concentration into AI and associated tech, much of which has questionable profitability.

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ES is rebounding nicely after yesterday’s tumble. But, the algos forgot to even backtest the 10-day moving average or even close a gap or two. Bottom line, TPTB are getting sloppy. At this rate, the marks (the investing public) are going to start to suspect something…

With ACA enrollment starting tomorrow and millions of registered voters about to experience huge stick shock, we get the feeling the government shutdown will soon end.

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The futures are off moderately following an FOMC meeting that surprised many observers. Powell threw cold water on the bulls’ insistence that we’d get another rate cut in December.

“A further reduction in the policy rate at the December meeting is not a foregone conclusion. Far from it.”

The algos made up most of the initial losses, but hinky earnings reports by some of the biggest stocks in the Mag 7 (META and MSFT) weren’t well received.

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Futures are up moderately ahead of today’s FOMC decision.

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Looking at our gas vs inflation chart, it sure looks questionable.

But, the Trump sycophants tripping over each other to assume the chairmanship next year would have us believe there is no such thing as an ill-advised rate cut.

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Futures are up sharply on Bessent’s comments on Sunday that a trade deal with China was imminent. We have no details on the deal – e.g. whether or not it would benefit the US if it is actually happening. All we know if that it’s happening right before a very important FOMC meeting, perhaps to tamp down FOMC fears about more tariff-driven increases in inflation.

Of course, it might not matter if AI superintelligence kills us all off anyway.

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CPI came in slightly lower than expected, but it’s still going in the wrong direction.

And, most economists expect CPI to continue rising. Is it logical to expect a FOMC rate cut next week?

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Oil prices soared on news that Trump is imposing sanctions on Russia, targeting the country’s two largest oil companies. Futures are off slightly as algos contemplate the impact on inflation.

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Futures are flat ahead of the open as the government shutdown enters its fourth week.

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Futures are flat following a sharp increase yesterday prompted by White House suggestions that the government shutdown was near an end.

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