Update on Bonds: Dec 24, 2024

In our Sep 24 update [see: Oil Prices Pressure Bonds] we noted the effect of rapidly rising oil and gas prices on the inflation outlook which, in turn, resulted in a sharp rise in the 10Y – from 3.61% to the current 4.62%.But, the bigger threat to equity prices appears in our yield curve model, which reflects the potential for significant downside if the bond market continues on its current path.

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