Oil and gas futures have both tagged our next downside targets from June [see: Update on Oil & Gas, June 6, 2024.]. We’ll take a look at the road ahead and what it means for the equity and bond markets. continued for members… … continue reading →
Just because we’re seeing an economic slowdown amidst very high inflation in a Fed tightening cycle against the backdrop of a war that could draw the US into armed conflict…doesn’t mean the market has to react rationally. Stocks were up sharply yesterday because they’re still driven largely by algorithms. And, yesterday, the algos were focused on … continue reading →
Russian troops entered Eastern Ukraine following its formal recognition of the two separatist regions, marking an escalation in the seriousness of the Ukraine crisis. Futures fell over 94 points from Friday’s close before the algos kicked in and are now down less than 10 as we approach the open. continued for members… … continue reading →
Many seasoned investors are surprised to see how positively correlated stock returns have been to oil prices. Energy stocks make up 8% of the overall market, so you’d expect them to have some influence. But, thanks to the increasing prominence of algorithms and quantitative trading, the impact has grown well beyond what 8% should contribute … continue reading →