Fresh Yield Curve Signal

Our yield curve model has finally sounded the alarm.

continued for members

Although the 10Y has dropped,… the 2Y is dropping faster. This puts the 2s10s back above any nearby resistance, meaning equities should sell off by a significant amount. Note that this doesn’t mean a huge, sudden downdraft. But, it would take some heavy lifting by currrencies, VIX, etc in order to prevent it. Right now, that assistance isn’t anywhere to be found.ES caught a bid at its SMA200, but it’s a very tenuous bounce.

SPY is also at risk of breaking down.

I’ll post more after a conference call I’ve got coming up.