Welcome to October

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October: it’s the month of some of the nastiest markets in history.  Recently, however, it’s been the month of some of the most impressive interventions (remember Kuroda’s Halloween surprise in 2014?)  Which will this October be?

On the one hand, we have another potential global financial meltdown brewing.  Deutsche Bank’s 18% rally off last week’s must-hold bottom [see: Deutsche Bank: Will it Survive?] is in danger of faltering, as the rumor of a deal with the DoJ is turning out to be nothing more than a rumor.  Who would do such a thing!?

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On the other hand, several of the most powerful algo drivers have been coiling for the past month, signaling a potential break out.

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