Watch Your Back

Charts often explain the market’s moves in a way that data can’t. If I’m a central bank, market maker, large hedge fund or bank trying to protect its long book, I’m gearing up to slam VIX down below that dashed red trend line.

Depending on who’s pulling the levers, it might or might not be enough to stave off the reversal that was due at yesterday’s highs. This meltup might simply be market makers trying to dig out from under their massive options exposure (OPEX is Friday.) It could also be the Fed’s attempt to engineer a soft landing. It could even be the BoJ, ECB or SNB trying to protect their books.

It doesn’t really matter. The important thing to remember is that as obvious as the bearish case might be, the market is subject to a great deal of “interference.” Watch your back.

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