In our last dedicated Update on Gold and Silver in April, we noted that gold had reached our Fibonacci target of 2466.50 but could have further to go. GC is fairly straightforward. There’s a large IH&S pattern which completed around Mar 7 targeting 2557, a short distance above the white 1.618 at 2466.50. GC reached … continue reading →
Housing starts and permits both fell, with starts missing expectations by a mile. Philadelphia Fed index also fell and saw a big miss. Capacity utilization and industrial output both missed and fell. So, naturally, the OPEX-obsessed S&P 500 futures are up 10 points. If things seem a little upside down at this point, know that … continue reading →
When unexpected unpleasantness unfurls, you can count on central banks to pull out all the stops. Such is the case with the British election results which, like Brexit, have wreaked havoc on FX markets. EURGBP, having broken down from its rising red channel dating back to mid-2015, was well on its way to a perfectly … continue reading →
The eminis are flirting with danger this morning, having ducked below a key channel midline (dashed, purple) but bouncing off a smaller channel bottom and another channel midline (dashed, white) near a .786 (1674.15) for a Gartley Pattern completion. The dollar is threatening to break out of the falling wedge…. And, the SPX is set … continue reading →
It’s not often I get the chance to plug a future competitor. As some of you know, my son Kyle is helping me out this summer. He will graduate in December with an Economics major and Personal Financial Planning minor from Texas Tech University in lovely Lubbock, TX. In addition to performing many rather thankless … continue reading →
It’s been a while since I last updated this page. The equities markets have kept me working overtime, and I assumed our May 15 forecast had long since jumped the tracks. At the time, Gold had plunged 270 to 1321 per ounce in only 4 sessions, bounced at 1321 (the day after our bottom call) … continue reading →
While the Nikkei hasn’t officially been on our hit list, it’s certainly been fascinating to watch. Today, it earned its very own page on pebblewriter.com. Late last night (early this morning?) I updated the USDJPY [HERE] which was at a critical point in its own rally to the moon. It recently broke down through the … continue reading →
Our last update [Apr 15] devoted to gold came in the midst of a huge meltdown. Gold had lost channel support, horizontal support at the psychologically important level of 1500 and was dropping like a rock through 1335. Never one to shy away from an opportunity to embarrass myself, I gave my best guess: we … continue reading →
The market bounced back a little into the close yesterday, and recovered further overnight. ES retraced a Fibonacci .886 of the initial plunge, and is hanging in the small channel established over the past week. We shorted SPX at 1635 yesterday, but weren’t sure whether or not the upside was completely done. This morning, there’s … continue reading →
It certainly looks like we’re almost there. The eminis seem to be already there… The EURUSD is clinging by its fingernails… The dollar looks ready to rumble… The USDJPY is making a bid for an IH&S, but has run smack dab into that yellow channel midline again…moment of truth for the yen… This morning’s dip … continue reading →