Breakout or Headfake?

Today’s post could be an extension of yesterdays, with more beneficiaries of the shutdown such as Target and Lowes reporting big beats.  Winners and losers.

Curiously, ES failed to make a new high yesterday even thoughy SPX briefly rose above its February highs.

You’ve always had to worry about predatory traders and specialists trying to catch momentum traders offsides, pushing above resistance in order to stop out shorts and draw in fresh meat.  These days, the players have expanded to include predatory HFTs, algos, central banks, the US Treasury, politicians, etc. The list of “interested parties” is long and distinguished, and most of them have access to plenty of free capital.

So, as we always ask when SPX reaches new highs: breakout or headfake?

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