Update on Gold: May 15, 2013

Our last update [Apr 15] devoted to gold came in the midst of a huge meltdown.  Gold had lost channel support, horizontal support at the psychologically important level of 1500 and was dropping like a rock through 1335. Never one to shy away from an opportunity to embarrass myself, I gave my best guess: we … continue reading →

Moment of Truth

SPX has been tracing out a channel over the past several months, but its RSI has clearly formed a rising wedge.  The divergence begs the question: “which will prevail?” Regular readers know I’m a fool for chart patterns in general and RSI chart patterns in particular.   But, that’s a solid channel that’s withstood some pretty … continue reading →

The Waiting Game: July 31, 2012

ORIGINAL POST:  11:30 AM SPX might be tracing out either a flag or pennant pattern on the 15-min chart.  While either could portend higher prices (2/3 of the time), a flag would mean lower prices first — probably down into the mid 1370s.   At first blush, the market seems to be respecting the last … continue reading →

SPX: The View from 30,000 Feet

Our charts have grown fairly “busy” lately, what with harmonic patterns, chart patterns, fan lines, channels, etc.  I find it helpful every now and then to take a step back and examine those elements that have had the biggest impact in recent years — and are likely to continue doing so. In my opinion, the … continue reading →

Update on EURUSD: April 24, 2012

April 24, 2012 From both a fundamental and technical standpoint, the long-term, medium-term and short-term pictures are all negative on the EURUSD.  Yet, it keeps hanging in there, the beneficiary of a great deal of ECB and, yes, Fed intervention. Here’s the long term picture as of this morning.  EURUSD has been stuck in that … continue reading →