Reproach and Retreat

The first big Republican victory — the repeal and replace of the ACA — has morphed into reproach and retreat.  The net impact: what does this failure portend for the rest of the Trump agenda and, thus, the Trump Rally? Regular readers know that I’ve looked askance at this rally from the start [see: Why the “Trump … continue reading →

The Dow: Time to Double Down?

Many are watching the Dow Transports’ recent all-time highs, wondering if Dow Theory suggests new highs for the DJIA as well. Without wading into the debate over which interpretation of the theory holds water and which are all wet, I think it’s important to recognize that the DJIA is one of those indices not making … continue reading →

Update on Everything: Jan 11, 2013

  Around the horn with major indices and currencies…  Like SPX, most are at a threshold where they must either break down or break out (I think “break down,” but we’ll know soon enough.) Coming up: VIX, RUT, COMP, NYA, NDX, DJIA, FTSE, SPX, DX, EURUSD, USDJPY, AUDUSD, CL, GC, SI.  And, yes, I’m happy … continue reading →

Charts I’m Watching: March 22, 2012

ORIGINAL POST: We’re finally seeing reactions on the harmonic pattern completions we’ve been watching for what seems like forever [see: Everything’s Coming Up Crabs.]RUT completed a Crab Pattern (in red) within the last leg of a Bat Pattern (purple) off the 2011 highs.  It never has cleared the TL off the May and July highs.  … continue reading →