Update on COMP: Dec 7, 2018

Don’t look now, but COMP is approaching our 6760 target.  As we discussed on Oct 10 [see: Plan B] COMP faced significant downside if its 200-DMA didn’t hold. Bottom line, it didn’t.  It was off as much as 13.3% last month before beginning a bounce that was destined to fail.  Next week, it will get … continue reading →

Are We There Yet?

SPX came within 7 points of our downside target yesterday, getting a midday bounce that couldn’t quite reach the 200-DMA.  Futures popped as high as 73 points off the intraday lows, but have since given back about 12 of those points and are perched barely above ES SMA200 at a 28-pt gain in the after-hours.If … continue reading →

The Market’s Latest “Lucky” Bounce

That’s a relief!  For months, pundits have been arguing whether the Fed needed to hike interest rates three times or four times this year — you know, because of all the growth coming down the pike. Fed Über-Dove and “Man Who Thinks Market Integrity is Overrated” Jim Bullard just announced that the correct number is … continue reading →

Update on COMP: Mar 20, 2018

Facebook is only 5.5% of the Nasdaq Composite (COMP), but yesterday’s plunge [see: Facebook Flops] was a good reminder to update our outlook. In our last update [see: Nov 6, 2017 Update] we identified 7619.37 as our next upside target. At this point, it’s pushing into the top quadrant of the rising white channel where … continue reading →

Update on Everything: Jan 11, 2013

  Around the horn with major indices and currencies…  Like SPX, most are at a threshold where they must either break down or break out (I think “break down,” but we’ll know soon enough.) Coming up: VIX, RUT, COMP, NYA, NDX, DJIA, FTSE, SPX, DX, EURUSD, USDJPY, AUDUSD, CL, GC, SI.  And, yes, I’m happy … continue reading →

Charts I’m Watching: March 22, 2012

ORIGINAL POST: We’re finally seeing reactions on the harmonic pattern completions we’ve been watching for what seems like forever [see: Everything’s Coming Up Crabs.]RUT completed a Crab Pattern (in red) within the last leg of a Bat Pattern (purple) off the 2011 highs.  It never has cleared the TL off the May and July highs.  … continue reading →