Was That It?

UPDATE:  1:30 PM We got a bounce just below 1395 as expected, and the market is currently retesting that level.  Again, if the rising wedge and our little channel hold, there is decent upside ahead.   There’s a lot riding on today’s sell off for both bears and bulls. Note the RSI TL tag (red arrow) … continue reading →

The Wipeout Ratio

A simple calculation comparing major banks’ derivatives positions to their assets and capital shows how little it would take to wipe out either.  The first ratio is the multiple that derivatives represent of Tier 1 capital.  The second shows the miniscule percentage decline in the value of derivatives portfolio it would take to completely wipe … continue reading →

What Do Bankers Dream Of?

When Wells Fargo CEO John Stumpf sleeps, he dreams — like all good bankers — about numbers.  He probably doesn’t dream about the number 600 — the number of foreclosure packages signed each day by his robosigners.  He probably doesn’t dream about 14,420 — the number of conveyance claims fraudulently submitted to HUD in exchange … continue reading →

Charts I’m Watching: March 22, 2012

ORIGINAL POST: We’re finally seeing reactions on the harmonic pattern completions we’ve been watching for what seems like forever [see: Everything’s Coming Up Crabs.]RUT completed a Crab Pattern (in red) within the last leg of a Bat Pattern (purple) off the 2011 highs.  It never has cleared the TL off the May and July highs.  … continue reading →