UPDATE: 3:45 PM
We failed to stop at 1183, so the trip to 1196 is kaput. I am watching, however, a possible turn at 1145.
Here’s the scenario:
It’s a potential Bat or Crab. Each of them calls for a Point B at the .382, which is what we had. The difference is that a Bat pattern calls for a Point D at the .886, while a Crab calls for an extension to the 1.618 of leg XA.
So, a Bat would reverse at 1145.64, while a Crab would take us to 1084.16 first. Do I care? Not really, because 1145 would complete the huge H&S; pattern we’ve been watching. We’d possibly see a little bounce there, but the H&S; pattern would target 1020-1030 (obviously, the Crab also completes the H&S; pattern.)
Either way, the market is going down big time.
UPDATE: 3:20 PM
My guess is the reversal at 1193.61 (sorry!) will serve as the Point B for a larger Gartley that takes us to 1196.44 for a bigger reversal at that pattern’s .786. Note we turned within .03 of the .618 retrace of the 2:20 pm high.
If we turn back up prior to 1183.33, look for the rebound and sharp reversal at 1196.
ORIGINAL POST: 3:05 PM
Little Gartley set up on SPX, should reverse at 1193.47.
Note, however, that we didn’t quite reach the .618 on Point B — meaning it could end up being a Bat pattern. The difference is whether we turn at the .786 at 1193.47 or the .886 at 1194.76.
As always, stops are a good idea.