Thank God for the news cycle, eh DB? With orange people and snowflakes and Italians hogging the spotlight, DB has slipped on a pair of dark shades and is mingling with all the other regular Joes which are rallying because… well, it doesn’t really matter, does it?
It’s a good thing, because after bouncing 42% since our bottom call on Sep 21 [see: Deutsche Bank: Will it Survive?], DB is clearly ahead of itself.
It has broken out of the falling red channel and the rising red channel and has broken above its SMA200 — all good things. But, it has also completed a Butterfly Pattern that should see it shed at least 7%, probably back to its SMA200 — currently at 15.62.
At some point, folks will start to wonder, again, how many trillions of unhedged FX exposure DB has. Until that happens, this should be a corrective wave amidst an ongoing
stock buyback operation rally.
If the SMA200 doesn’t hold, there is a gap to fill at 14.87 and a forlorn red channel to flesh out at 14.61 or 13.88. But, I wouldn’t hold my breath.