About pebblewriter

I left Wall Street in August 2001 (95th floor of World Trade 2...timing IS everything) and continue to trade for fun and profit. I hold undergrad degrees in Math and Econ, an MBA and am a CFA. Which is all to say -- I have no excuse for the miserable mistakes I often make. This blog serves as a means to keep myself honest and my thoughts organized. It should not be construed as advice regarding any particular strategy or security.

August 8, 2011

I know this market seems unbelievable, but be careful about calling the bottom unless some of the RSI charts are able to break their TLs.  Here’s the 5 minute chart: And, the 60 minute: Note every time the market tries to turn, the RSI is turned back by its trend line.  I, for one, won’t … continue reading →

Lessons Learned

I know, strange title.  I was going to go with “A Little Self-Doubt Can Knock the Snot Out of Your Portfolio,” but that seemed a bit excessive. Just came across this chart from June 23 [Deja Vu, All Over Again].  I had recently discovered fan lines, and was pretty excited about the prospects. Combining fan … continue reading →

intra-day: August 5, 2011

LATER Okay, so post-S&P; downgrade…  ignore everything I wrote today.  It doesn’t matter anymore.  I think. Was this priced into the market?  Question du jour, possibly l’année.  My gut says it was.  I think most institutions that are required to divest themselves of anything less than AAA will do so over time, if at all.  … continue reading →